Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.067420 0.079974 0.094057 0.111003 0.130818 0.153234 0.180491
2025-03-30 0.047654 0.063639 0.083627 0.110360 0.145071 0.188500 0.246835
2025-04-06 0.035593 0.052216 0.074858 0.107743 0.154037 0.216599 0.307218
2025-04-13 0.027447 0.043594 0.067227 0.103995 0.159338 0.239010 0.361729
2025-04-20 0.023069 0.039241 0.064418 0.105956 0.172125 0.272592 0.435510
2025-04-27 0.019533 0.035359 0.061411 0.106722 0.182649 0.303510 0.508619
2025-05-04 0.016726 0.032068 0.058654 0.107181 0.192333 0.333803 0.583933
2025-05-11 0.014647 0.029620 0.056828 0.108747 0.203777 0.367937 0.669190
2025-05-18 0.013240 0.028133 0.056406 0.112608 0.219530 0.410913 0.774193
2025-05-25 0.011178 0.024966 0.052320 0.108968 0.220969 0.428644 0.836259
2025-06-01 0.009839 0.023022 0.050269 0.108872 0.228923 0.458850 0.924161
2025-06-08 0.008578 0.021003 0.047728 0.107360 0.233778 0.483565 1.004127
2025-06-15 0.007821 0.020004 0.047230 0.110149 0.247959 0.528422 1.129367
2025-06-22 0.006873 0.018385 0.045130 0.109184 0.254187 0.558222 1.228123
2025-06-29 0.005951 0.016643 0.042464 0.106525 0.256342 0.579805 1.312280
2025-07-06 0.005103 0.014917 0.039543 0.102804 0.255557 0.594955 1.384330
2025-07-13 0.004676 0.014224 0.039022 0.104740 0.268019 0.640176 1.526501
2025-07-20 0.004240 0.013419 0.038085 0.105497 0.277754 0.680327 1.661599
2025-07-27 0.003842 0.012642 0.037091 0.105951 0.286787 0.719808 1.799298
2025-08-03 0.003532 0.012066 0.036546 0.107500 0.298748 0.767393 1.960837
2025-08-10 0.003336 0.011802 0.036824 0.111320 0.317035 0.832034 2.169635
2025-08-17 0.002911 0.010712 0.034559 0.107719 0.315287 0.847472 2.260354
2025-08-24 0.002643 0.010091 0.033573 0.107624 0.322992 0.887337 2.415839